根據(jù) Forrester Research 最新發(fā)布的一組預(yù)測(cè)，物聯(lián)網(wǎng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)可用的連接選項(xiàng)數(shù)量之多將在來年造成混亂。

由于沒有單一的連接選項(xiàng)可以滿足物聯(lián)網(wǎng)的所有用例，因此企業(yè)應(yīng)該期望在一個(gè)包括專有低功耗選項(xiàng)（如 Zigbee）、未經(jīng)許可的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)（如藍(lán)牙）、公共和私有5G、Wi-Fi甚至衛(wèi)星以使部署工作。

由于物聯(lián)網(wǎng)連接市場(chǎng)脫節(jié)，到 2021 年，5G 和 Wi-Fi 的使用率實(shí)際上將大幅放緩，其中一些支出將用于衛(wèi)星和其他低功耗選項(xiàng)，明年它們的興趣應(yīng)該會(huì)增加 20%， Forrester 在“預(yù)測(cè) 2021：物聯(lián)網(wǎng) (IoT)”中說。

分析師們表示，隨著 COVID-19 的普及促使對(duì)數(shù)字和遠(yuǎn)程醫(yī)療技術(shù)的大量投資增加，這種興趣的大部分——可能會(huì)轉(zhuǎn)化為使用和銷售——可能會(huì)出現(xiàn)在醫(yī)療保健市場(chǎng)。由于大流行，用于在家中評(píng)估患者健康狀況的可穿戴設(shè)備和遠(yuǎn)程傳感器突然變得比以往任何時(shí)候都更加重要。據(jù) Forrester 稱，由于便利因素，消費(fèi)者的興趣正在上升，而保險(xiǎn)公司希望能夠獲得有關(guān)患者及其可能結(jié)果的更多數(shù)據(jù)。物聯(lián)網(wǎng)網(wǎng)關(guān)

在其他地方，雖然辦公空間的整體使用率似乎將保持歷史低位——大流行的影響更大——但那些因預(yù)期 COVID-19 水平最終下降而計(jì)劃返回辦公室的公司可能會(huì)實(shí)施大量物聯(lián)網(wǎng)應(yīng)用保障員工安全，提高效率。Forrester 將智能照明、環(huán)境監(jiān)測(cè)、基于傳感器的活動(dòng)監(jiān)測(cè)和空間利用系統(tǒng)列為物聯(lián)網(wǎng)的潛在智能辦公用例。

最后，2021 年是聯(lián)網(wǎng)機(jī)器成為工業(yè)用途主流的一年。雖然聯(lián)網(wǎng)機(jī)器已經(jīng)存在了很長(zhǎng)時(shí)間，但 Forrester 表示，直到最近，許多用戶還不愿意充分利用這些聯(lián)網(wǎng)設(shè)備。COVID-19 再次引發(fā)了變革。

報(bào)告稱：“要求 OEM 工程師定期上門拜訪的客戶現(xiàn)在可以享受到機(jī)器打電話回家尋求幫助的便利，讓遠(yuǎn)程專家參與維修，而無需長(zhǎng)時(shí)間停機(jī)和昂貴的旅行?！?/p>

Forrester 說，隨著基本連接變得越來越普遍，工業(yè)物聯(lián)網(wǎng)使用的更深入模型，如預(yù)測(cè)性維護(hù)和業(yè)務(wù)即服務(wù)，將被廣泛采用。

Forrester 對(duì) 2021 年的其他預(yù)測(cè)可在此處免費(fèi)獲取。

英文部分：

The sheer number of connectivity options available for IoT networks will create chaos in the coming year, according to a newly released set of predictions from Forrester Research.

As there’s no single connectivity option that meets every use case for IoT, businesses should expect to navigate a landscape that includes proprietary low-power options like Zigbee, unlicensed standards like Bluetooth, both public and private varieties of 5G, Wi-Fi, and even satellite in order to make deployments work.

2021 will actually see uptake rates for 5G and Wi-Fi slow substantially as a result of the disjointed IoT connectivity market, and some of that spending will go to satellite and other low-power options, which should see 20% more interest next year, Forrester says in “Predictions 2021: Internet Of Things (IoT)”.

Much of that interest--which, presumably, translates into usage and sales--could be in the healthcare market, as the spread of COVID-19 prompted substantial investment increases in digital and remote health technology, according to the analysts. Wearables and remote sensors to assess patients’ health at home are suddenly more relevant than ever thanks to the pandemic. Consumer interest is on the rise thanks to the convenience factor, and insurers like the ability to have additional data about their patients and their possible outcomes, according to Forrester.

Elsewhere, while the overall use of office space seems set to remain historically low--more fallout from the pandemic--companies that do plan to return to their offices in the anticipation of COVID-19 levels eventually dropping could implement a lot of IoT applications to keep employees safe and improve efficiency. Forrester cites smart lighting, environmental monitoring, sensor-based activity monitoring, and space-utilization systems as potential smart office use cases for IoT.

Finally, 2021 is the year when connected machines cross into the mainstream of industrial use. While connected machinery has been around for a long time, Forrester said that, until recently, many users have been reluctant to use those connected devices to their fullest capability. Once again, COVID-19 has prompted change.

“Customers who demanded regular visits from their OEM’s engineers now enjoy the convenience of machines that call home for help, engaging remote experts to walk through repairs without protracted downtime and expensive travel,” the report said.

The more in-depth models of industrial IoT use, like predictive maintenance and business-as-a-service, will follow in widespread uptake as the basic connectivity becomes more and more common, Forrester said.